Shell Energy Scenarios to 2050 | VTT - Latest Energy Scenarios


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Tuesday, 30 September 2008, 14:00 - 16:15
(Registration and coffee at 13:30)

Venue: Vanha Ylioppilastalo, Mannerheimintie 3, Helsinki

Moderator of the event: Harri Saukkomaa, Chairman of Susamuru Oy and Tekir Oy

Wim Thomas


Wim is heading the Energy Analyses Team in Shell’s Global Scenario Group. An energy scenario practitioner for some 5 years, his team is responsible for worldwide energy analyses, long-term global energy scenarios, and advises Shell companies on a wide range of energy issues, including global supply and demand, regulations, energy policy, pricing and industry structure. He has been with the Shell group of companies for almost 25 years, with prior positions in drilling operations, subsurface reservoir management, and commercial and regulatory affairs in gas and power.

Wim is a UK member to the World Petroleum Council and World Energy Council’s energy scenario group and was chairman of the British Institute of Energy Economics in 2005. He holds a postgraduate degree in Maritime Technology, Delft University, The Netherlands.

Ilkka Savolainen


Ilkka Savolainen is Research Professor at the VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland. He is also Docent (Adjunct Professor) at the Department of Forest Products Technology of the Helsinki University of Technology, Espoo, Finland. Previously, he was Professor of Environmental Management at the School of Business and Economics of the University of Jyväskylä, Finland.

His research has focused on environmental technologies and policies for climate change mitigation and acidification control. He is currently involved in the development and assessment of environmental technologies and energy systems in the context of climate change mitigation strategies.

He is a member of the Finnish Liaison Committee of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC). He is an assistant editor of Progress in Industrial Ecology, An International Journal.

He has also been an expert member of Finland’s Delegation to the Climate Negotiations since 1999 (Conferences of the Parties to the United Nations’ Framework Convention on Climate Change) and a member of the Executive Committee of the OECD IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme since 2001.


Royal Dutch Shell's renowned energy scenarios have, for many years, helped energy experts and thought leaders around the world anticipate the evolution of global energy supply and demand.

Shell's 2008 energy scenarios chart two plausible ways in which the globe's sources and uses of energy may evolve over the next half-century. These two scenarios show how the world will grapple with three hard truths: the surge in global energy demand, the end of easily accessible oil and increasing environmental stresses including the impact of greenhouse gas emissions.

VTT’s greenhouse gas emission reduction scenarios consider the ways to limit the global warming to two degrees of Celcius as proposed by the European Union. Revolutionary changes will be needed in the energy production and use to achieve this objective, but these changes will also create a huge market for new effective technologies.


Olli Ernvall
020 722 6747

Susanne Tolstrup
Communications Manager
+45 2220 6010